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Latest Analyses(7)

What I'm seeing with STRC, Marvell, Micron & TSLA/SPCX Pair Chart
InvestAnswers|18. Juni

What I'm seeing with STRC, Marvell, Micron & TSLA/SPCX Pair Chart

📈 Market Overview: AI Tech Dominates, Crypto Weakens
  • The S&P 500 remains strong, driven by AI despite Fed rate hikes. No end to the rally in sight.
  • Q's (QQQs) are even stronger than the S&P 500 due to tech overweight.
  • VIX is low (~14–15), indicating good buying zones for volatility traders.
🚀 AI Infrastructure: The "Fab Three" – Micron, Marvel, ALAB
  • Micron (MU): New all-time high, target $1,600 (40% upside). Leaps (options) offer massive leverage.
  • Marvel (MRVL): Also all-time high, price near $3,930. Jensen Huang sees Marvel as a future trillion-dollar company.
  • ALAB: 4.3x increase in 9 weeks, new ATH at $420.
  • AMD: Solid but less vertical – ATH at $558.
  • Broadcom (AVGO): Consolidation after earnings; Level 5 at $378 as strong support.
  • Nvidia (NVDA): Bullish, target $216+; PE lower than Walmart. Every dip is a buy.
🐻 Crypto: Weakness and Concentration
  • Bitcoin: Weak at ~$62,200, support at $60,000. Possible drop to $50,000 (buy signal).
  • Ethereum: 30% loss over 5 years – no scalability for AI agents.
  • Solana: Still +100% over 5 years, but currently volatile. Use for tokenized stocks growing.
  • 99.8% of all cryptos go to zero – only top assets like BTC, ETH, SOL survive.
💰 STRC (MicroStrategy Preferred): Panic and Opportunity
  • STRC fell from $100 to $82, recovered to $88. Dividend of 11.5% p.a. on par value $100, current yield ~13.5%.
  • Cause: Leverage and panic selling. Smart money bought at $82–83.
  • Bitcoin weakness explains 93% of STRC volatility. MicroStrategy can pay dividends for 32 years.
🔄 Pair Trading: Tesla (TSLA) vs. SpaceX (SPCX)
  • Tesla (TSLA): Weak trend, but potential to $600–650 with Cybercab launch. Buy opportunity at $382.
  • SpaceX (SPCX): Volatile since IPO (last week). Ratio 2.15:1 (TSLA/SPCX). Pair-trade signals via Optimized Trend.
  • Tesla building Terafab (50x more chips than global production) – partnership with Intel.
🏢 Other Stock Analysis
  • Palantir (PLTR): 15 bounces from $127–128 since February. Next buy at $110.
  • EchoStar (SATS): $30B debt, but 2.8% stake in SpaceX. Target ~$130 with SpaceX valuation of $2.4T.
  • Galaxy Digital: 91% win rate with Deviation model – support at Level 2 ($17).
  • FuboTV: Chart dead, financial doubts – avoid.
  • TSAT: SpaceX partnership? Stock down for 20 years – avoid.
⚙️ Trading Tips
  • ATR model on Hype: 86.89% win rate. Bar-open entry better than bar-close.
  • Trend model on Hype: 97% win rate on very tight settings.
  • Important: Keep cash reserve (e.g., 60% capital per trade).
  • Don't chase prices – wait for mean reversion.