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Latest Analyses(7)

This $200 Setup Is the Point of Diminishing Returns
Lance Hedrick|04. Juli

This $200 Setup Is the Point of Diminishing Returns

The $200 Setup: The Point of Diminishing Returns

This video demonstrates that a $200 coffee setup can produce excellent filter coffee, rivaling expensive professional gear – if you’re willing to learn the basics. The key takeaway: the grinder is the most critical component.

1. Core Message

  • Expensive setups (over $3,000) only yield better results if you invest time in dialing in variables. Without that skill, a budget rig is just as good.
  • The human factor (barista skill) matters more than price.

2. Recommended Components (Total ~$195)

  • Kettle: A variable-temperature gooseneck kettle (approx. $40, e.g., OXO). Heats water to about 194–200°F (90–93°C) and allows controlled pouring.
  • Grinder (most important): Three options for $50–100:
    • Q2 Air ($50–70): Lightweight, heptagonal burrs, ideal for light roasts.
    • Turin H40 (~$70): More body, better for medium/dark roasts.
    • Femobook A2 ($90–100): Electric, battery-powered, similar quality to hand grinders.
  • Scale: Kitchen scale with 0.1g accuracy ($20–30) or a cheap jewelry scale ($8–10).
  • Brewer: Hario V60 (plastic from $7, metal ~$40). Even an IKEA funnel ($1) works.
  • Paper filters: Hario filters (about $5/100) or premium (Cafec Abaca, $8–9).
  • Coffee: High-quality beans ($25–30 for 250g) – cheaper than cafe visits.
  • Water: Crucial – use filtered water (e.g., Brita) to avoid muted flavors.

3. Simple Brewing Recipe (V60)

  1. 15g coffee (grind about twice the size of table salt).
  2. Heat water to 194–200°F (90–93°C).
  3. Pour 45g water for bloom, wait 30 seconds.
  4. Then pour up to 225g total – pour steadily and evenly.
  5. Target brew time: about 2 minutes.
  6. After brewing, let the coffee cool slightly (stir or decant) – cooler coffee reveals more flavors.

4. Conclusion

  • Priority: Grinder > Filter paper > Brewer.
  • With practice, a $200 setup can make world-class coffee at home, saving money compared to cafes.
  • Final thought: “Hope you brew something tasty today.”
The Market is Wrong About the US Dollar
Benjamin Cowen|18. Aug.

The Market is Wrong About the US Dollar

Core thesis

The US Dollar (DXY) is set to rise in the short term contrary to the consensus view, before eventually losing purchasing power over the long run.

Why the dollar could go higher
  • Historical patterns: Under Trump, the dollar tends to repeat its first-term behaviour – a spike early in the term, a sell-off, and then a grind higher toward the midterm year.
  • Rate hikes ahead: The Fed may have to raise rates again because inflation (especially energy) is not yet under control.
  • 2-Year yield correlation: The dollar often follows the 2-year Treasury yield, which has recently bounced more strongly.
  • Global rate movements: Other central banks (Europe, Japan, New Zealand, Australia) have already started hiking – a sign the US may follow.
Impact on other markets
  • A stronger dollar creates headwinds for Bitcoin and equities.
  • An expected move to 105–106 could trigger a final correction this year.
Conclusion

The dollar has short-term upside despite long-term erosion. The market may be surprised by a rate hike and a subsequent dollar rally.

6 Ways To Brew Espresso: Turbo, Allongé, Sprover, and more
Lance Hedrick|18. Aug.

6 Ways To Brew Espresso: Turbo, Allongé, Sprover, and more

🎯 Six Ways to Brew Espresso: From Normal to Sprover

This video demonstrates how to use your standard espresso machine (e.g., Gaggia Classic, De'Longhi, Breville) to make a variety of coffee drinks. From classic espresso to a filter coffee substitute, here are the six methods:

1. Normale – The Classic

  • Ratio: 1:2 (coffee to water)
  • Extraction Time: 25–30 seconds
  • Grind Size: Medium (e.g., setting 1)
  • TDS (Concentration): 9–12% – balanced, ideal for dark roasts.
  • Taste: Perfect balance, good body.

2. Ristretto – Shorter and More Intense

  • Ratio: 1:1 to 1:1.5
  • Extraction: Same grind size, but stopped earlier.
  • TDS: 12–15% → very concentrated.
  • Taste: Syrupy, sweet-sour, long-lasting mouthfeel.
  • Note: For light roasts, a powerful grinder is needed.

3. Lungo – Longer and Milder

  • Ratio: 1:3 to 1:4
  • Extraction Time: Longer than normale (same grind size).
  • TDS: ~7% → much more diluted.
  • Taste: Smoother, less intense, but risk of astringency (dry mouthfeel).
  • Tip: Better to make a Ristretto + hot water than to extract directly longer.

4. Allongé – French for 'long' (modern version)

  • Ratio: 1:5 to 1:6
  • Extraction Time: 30–40 seconds
  • Grind Size: Significantly coarser (e.g., setting 1.3).
  • Pressure: Peaks at 8 bar, then drops.
  • TDS: 3.5–5.5% → between filter coffee and espresso.
  • Taste: Fruity, bright, little bitterness. Recommended for light roasts at lower temperatures (~85°C).

5. Turbo Shot – The Quick Treat

  • Ratio: 1:3
  • Extraction Time: 7–15 seconds (!)
  • Grind Size: Even coarser (e.g., setting 1.5).
  • Pressure: Reaches only ~5–6 bar – no special setup required.
  • TDS: ~6.6%.
  • Taste: Extremely fruity and aromatic, high acid presentation, but not sour. Gentle on the grinder due to coarser grind.
  • Note: Don't be fooled by splatters – it's normal!

6. Sprover / Café Crème – The Filter Coffee Replacement

  • Ratio: 1:8 to 1:12 (here 1:11)
  • Extraction Time: Fast due to very coarse grind.
  • Grind Size: Significantly coarser than all others (e.g., setting 2.5).
  • TDS: 1.5–2.5% – very thin, almost like filter coffee.
  • Taste: Watery, but surprisingly low in astringency. Foam resembles moka pot foam.
  • Tip: Use lower temperature (80–85°C) and/or a paper filter in the portafilter for more clarity.
🔍 Verdict of the Day

Concentration (TDS) and extraction level heavily depend on grind size, temperature, and ratio. The YouTuber personally favors the Turbo Shot for its freshness and fruitiness. But whether you prefer Normale, Ristretto, or Sprover – the most important thing is that you enjoy it!