Märkte am Morgen: Öl, Bitcoin, Cisco, Alibaba, Siemens, Verbio, Südzucker, Energiekontor, Scout24
This trading week is heavily influenced by geopolitical tensions. Donald Trump's verbal attacks on Iran are driving oil prices (Brent & WTI) higher, with Brent already trading around $111. Chart analysis shows a triangle formation, with analysts expecting an upside breakout due to disrupted supply chains and scarcity concerns.
- Oil Price Outlook: Expected to continue rising as investors perception of supply shortages persists, despite artificial subsidies in Europe.
- Stock Markets: nd the S&P 500 has dipped due to inflation fears and disappointment over the US-China meeting. This could also be a welcome opportunity for profit-taking after a strong rally.
Earnings season still has some highlights. The focus is strong on Artificial Intelligence.
- Nvidia (The Poster Child of the AI Boom): Must prove this week that can maintain its growth at this high level. So far, such doubts have been consistently dispelled.
- Alibaba & Chinese AI: Alibaba deliveredstrong numbers. The general assessment is that China will catch up in the AI sector, similar to its rise as an economic power. A key stock for this thesis is Baidu, reporting earnings today.
- Retail Earnings (Walmart, Homedepot, Webull): More important indicators for the economy.
Cisco Systems: The stock surged massively after blowout earnings (+from 80 to 120). The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at 90, placing it in a heavily overbought territory. Caution is advised in the short term; a correction is likely.
Siemens & Goldman Sachs: Goldman Sachs views an expected 3% dip in Siemens stock as a good entry opportunity (price target: 290 EUR). It's highlighted how a 1,000 EUR investment can grow into a sizable fortune, emphasizing the importance of private retirement planning.
Verbio & SÜSS MicroTec: Rising oil prices are shifting focus back to alternatives. Verbio (biofuels) and SÜSS MicroTec (alternative fuels) are interesting plays. Verbio shows a clear upward trend since the outbreak of the war.
Energiekontor (Renewable Energy): The chart is technically very clean, showing a steep upward trend of +50% since late March. The breakout above the 40 Euro mark occurred after a brief pullback.
Scout24: Solid earnings, but the stock under pressure again. Investors doubt the long-term sustainability of its business model.
Porsche: The stock is performing better than expected, breaking above its 200-day moving average. However, strong competition from Chinese electric vehicles (impressive in both price and design) is noted.
🔑 Key Takeaway for the WeekThe overall market is largely ignoring the Middle East conflict and is being driven by individual stocks and earnings reports. Oil prices and the AI wave are dominating headlines. Investors should watch for overbought stocks like Cisco while seeking opportunities in energy alternatives and Chinese AI.
