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Latest Analyses(7)

Großer Crash oder kleine Korrektur? Nasdaq 100, Microsoft, Meta, Bitcoin, Strategy im Check
DER AKTIONÄR TV|19. Mai

Großer Crash oder kleine Korrektur? Nasdaq 100, Microsoft, Meta, Bitcoin, Strategy im Check

📉 Market Sentiment and Strategy
  • Uncertainty prevails: After a strong rally, 'air is being let out of the balloon.' Investors face the dilemma: take profits or continue with a buy-the-dip strategy?
  • Expert opinion: A mixed strategy is recommended: focus on quality stocks during pullbacks. The current consolidation is considered normal.
  • Warning sign from bond market: Yields on 30-year US Treasuries are near 5.14% – a warning signal. Rising yields can pressure the stock market.
  • Geopolitics: The planned US strike on Iran was called off, seen as positive for negotiations. The meeting between Putin and Xi, as well as BRICS efforts to reduce dollar dependency, remain in focus.
🔍 Individual Stocks and Strategies

📌 Nasdaq-100 Put (Hedge)

  • Consideration: A Put with leverage of 6.5 (knockout at 33,450 points) is discussed as a hedge. It protects the portfolio during a 5-7% correction but limits gains in a rising market.
  • Viewer vote: 60% opposed the idea. The host notes: "The crowd is often wrong."
  • Conclusion: The final decision will be announced in the premium area.

💎 Microsoft – Sideways Strategy

  • Position: A structured product with a cap at $410 (current price: $423).
  • Goal: Maximum return of 43% until September if the stock stays above $410. It bets on sideways movement.
  • WKN: MN39 GS

🏢 Meta Platforms – Sideways Strategy

  • Position: A structured product with a strike at $560 and a cap at $640 (currently $611).
  • Status: Slightly down (6.9%). Maximum return 72.5% in four weeks if the stock stays below $640.
  • WKN: UJ6 MVL

₿ Bitcoin – New Entry Planned

  • Price: A drop to around $78,000 (from $83,000) is seen as an entry opportunity.
  • Product: A leverage certificate with factor 1.7 (knockout at $36,800).
  • Target: $87,000 or more by year-end, supported by the prospect of a US strategic Bitcoin reserve.
  • WKN: VV9 W2C

🏢 Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) – Existing Position

  • Position: Already in the portfolio. Structured product with strike at $155 and cap at $180 (currently under pressure).
  • Opportunity: If the stock reaches $180, a return of 114% would be possible.
📅 Outlook
  • Next show: At 8:50 AM with experts Martin, Thomas, and Samir. Topics: Rheinmetall, BMW, SAP, Siemens Energy, Munich Re, and Gold.
  • Action: 15% discount on the 'Märkte und Trends' portfolio with code MT15. Link in the video description.