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Latest Analyses(7)

David Sold His ETH...Here's Why
Bankless|22. Mai

David Sold His ETH...Here's Why

📉 Macro Bearishness and Stagflation Fears
  • April CPI inflation rose to 3.8% – the highest since 2023. The US 10-year yield hit 4.63% (highest since Feb 2023), the 30-year yield reached 5.16% (highest since 2008).
  • Credit card delinquencies hit a 15-year high. The market no longer prices in any Fed rate cuts for 2026.
  • A comparison to 1970s inflation shows a worrying pattern: a potential double top (second wave of inflation) driven by oil prices due to the Strait of Hormuz blockade. Brent crude could reach $120–$180/barrel if no peace deal is reached with Iran.
  • This creates a rock-and-a-hard-place for the Fed and Treasury: rising debt (>100% GDP) and higher interest payments force money printing – a long-term tailwind for scarce assets like Bitcoin.
đŸ”„ Bullish Niches: Hyperliquid, Zcash, Venice Buck the Trend
  • Hyperliquid (HYPE): New ATH at $61.50 (+47% weekly). Driven by Real-World Asset (RWA) volume exceeding 60%, including stocks, commodities, and pre-IPO markets (e.g., SpaceX, OpenAI). Bitwise launched a HYPE ETF, buying 10% of fees into HYPE treasury.
  • Zcash (ZEC): +25% weekly – Privacy coins are surging overall (also Railgun, Veil). Zcash is a fork of Bitcoin with built-in zero-knowledge privacy.
  • Venice (VVV): New ATH – private AI inference on Base.
  • Wintermute launched vaults on Morpho (USDC Prime and Select, target 4-8% APY) – a trend toward professionally managed, regulated DeFi products.
đŸ›ïž ETF News and SEC Framework
  • The SEC hints at an innovation framework for tokenized stocks – a major shift from the Gensler era.
  • Blockchain.com filed for IPO. Ronin (gaming L2) completed migration to Ethereum L2 and cut inflation from 20% to under 1%.
  • Trump administration invests $2 billion in quantum computing (IBM, chipmakers, startups) – part of an industrial policy strategy (“USA Inc.”).
👋 Exodus at the Ethereum Foundation (EF)
  • Prominent departures: Tomas (Executive Director), Josh Stark, Trent Van Epps, BarnabĂ© Monnot, Tim Beiko, Alex Stokes, Carl Beek, Julian Ma – all key protocol development figures.
  • Reasons:
    • The “CROPS” mandate (Censorship Resistance, Openness, Privacy, Security) – critics see it as a dogmatic focus on protection over growth and adoption.
    • Underpayment and lack of incentives (EF holds <0.1% of all ETH).
    • Leadership and governance issues; the EF feels too academic and philosophical while concrete progress is lacking.
  • Thesis: The EF protects Ethereum from corruption but not from irrelevance. New institutions (e.g., Bitwise, BitMine) must fill the gap in mass adoption.
đŸŽ™ïž A New Era at Bankless
  • David Hofman sold all his ETH – out of frustration over ETH's lack of price appreciation and the EF's priorities (CROPS vs. Growth).
  • He remains bullish on Ethereum as a network but is pessimistic about ETH returning as a store of value without new leadership and incentives.
  • Ryan Adams is reducing his podcast presence; David will take on more interviews, focusing on **