DER AKTIONÄR TV|12. Mai
Das sieht richtig gut aus! Strategy, Coinbase, Bitcoin, Mara, Circle im Check
📈 Markets & Trends Morning Show - May 12th Summary
This episode of "Märkte & Trends am Morgen" with Christian Woller and Sami focused on the drastic developments of the past trading week, particularly the record highs in the US and the associated risks.
🐂 US Index Rally: Healthy or Overheated?
- The S&P 500 hit a new record at 7,428.97 points. Sami warns that the current momentum and concentration (Top 10 stocks make up 40% of the index) have historically often preceded a correction.
- Nasdaq 100 is rising parabolically to 29,320 points (high of 29,343) and is approaching the 30,000 mark. Six weeks ago, it was at 22,800 points (+16% in four weeks).
- Drivers: High liquidity on the sidelines and a short squeeze are pushing markets higher.
- Conclusion: "The trend is your friend," but one should proceed with "caution." Advice: Take some profits, adjust stops, and wait for strategic pullbacks (3-5%).
🛡️ Hedging Strategy: Put Certificate on Nasdaq 100
- As a hedge or counterweight, a Nasdaq 100 Put (KO Certificate) (ISIN: UQ3VK) is proposed. Strategies:
- Variant 1: Add to the portfolio as insurance for existing tech and AI positions.
- Variant 2: A pure short trade targeting a 4-5% correction (which would yield 28-35% profit on the certificate).
🌐 Bitcoin and Crypto: Stability Before the Next Move?
- Bitcoin is stable at around $82,000 after the long sideways phase ($65,000-$71,000). Sami remains optimistic with a target of $100,000 (and higher to $126,500) this year.
- Trading Idea Bitcoin (ISIN: VV9W2C): Leverage 1.6, target $100,000 (approx. 25% potential). Dollar-cost averaging is recommended.
- The Clarity Act and the US elections could provide new tailwinds.
🚀 Stocks in Focus:
- Mara Holdings (ISIN: MN0B70): Despite mixed quarterly results (revenue decline), the stock fell 4% after hours but remains technically bullish after breaking out above $12. Analyst target: up to $17-19 (approx. 26-50% potential).
- Strategy (MicroStrategy): Continues buying Bitcoin (535 BTC at $80,340). The discount warrant (ISIN: ..) is performing well (33% return). The hosts consider a rotation into a different maturity as the stock is already above the cap of $180.
- Coinbase (ISIN: MN3A77): Strong recovery (+25% in the portfolio). The discount warrant (purchase price €0.65, maturity Sep 18, 2026) offers 31% maximum return. Goal: sideways or slight rise to collect the bonus.
- Circle Internet Group: After strong earnings (+16%), the stock is rated Strong Buy with a technical target of $133, then $197. The KO certificate (ISIN: MN33VZ) has a leverage of 1.6.
ℹ️ Service Information
- Märkte & Trends Portfolio – All trades live via web and app, including discount code "MT15" for 15% off.
- Free 7-day trial at heavytraders.li for all portfolios and live shows.
💬 Join the discussion! What is your opinion? Is the current market too hot, or do you see further upside potential? Write in the comments!
