Welcome to Nofinity

• Bitcoin is just above $63,000 but has lost the key 200 EMA (4h).
• The spot market is extremely weak with low demand; movements are heavily driven by leveraged trading.
• The Power Law support line (~$56,000) is discussed as a potential entry zone, but skeptically: past ≠ future.
• A break below $55,000 could trigger a cascade and break the last remaining faith.
• Realized losses are at bear market levels; there are exhausted sellers, but also long-term holders.

• The US-Iran conflict is weighing on markets, especially Asian indices (e.g., KOSPI -9.2%).
• Chip stocks like SK Hynix (-34% in days) and Micron are correcting sharply, despite record profits.
• AI stocks appear cheap (low P/E), but high expectations are unsustainable.
• Free cash flows of hyperscalers (Amazon, Google) are declining; companies are taking on debt for AI investments.
• Berkshire Hathaway is sitting on record cash; major hedge funds are going risk-off.

• Inflation data and interest rate decisions are in focus; hot data could trigger rate hikes in September.
• The VIX is at 29; uncertainty remains high.
• MiCA 2.0 and the Clarity Act are key regulatory topics for the future.
• Exchanges like Sendex are halting services in Europe; top exchanges are protected by customer asset segregation.

• Bitcoin is relatively stable but could fall below $60,000 if tensions escalate.
• Long-term optimistic, short-term cautious: A strong cash position is being built gradually.
• Current strategy: Stay in the market, but benefit from falling prices.

Summary follows...

Summary follows...

Summary follows...

Summary follows...

Summary follows...

• Sentiment echoes a new bull market with strong upward price action, especially for Bitcoin, which is approaching the $80,000 region.
• The weekly trend reversal is confirmed as price has broken above the 200-day moving average.
• Caution is advised, however, as price enters a resistance zone between $80,000 and $82,000. A retest of the $60,000 area is possible.
• Analysts expect consolidation before a potential further move higher.

• Zcash (ZEC): Strong upward momentum; focus on breakouts after a sweep of a base/low. Potential price target: over $1,000.
• Pump.fun: Waiting for consolidation to find a long entry.
• ENA: Potential entry after a pullback into the $13-14 zone.
• Hyperliquid (HYPE): Waiting for a retest of the $70 level, then looking for a reclaim and continuation of the uptrend.
• Memecoins (Robin Hood Ecosystem): The rotation is extremely fast. Currently, Cash Cat is the favorite, but the strategy is to buy dips after a breakout.

• Caution: A pure uptrend is not guaranteed. The trader employs a long-term strategy (accumulation) combined with short-term momentum trades.
• Risk Management: Stop-loss is essential. Every trade is defined with a clear invalidation (e.g., a close below a previous low).
• Focus: Currently focusing on a small basket of 5-6 assets to avoid information overload.
• Portfolio Building: The best entries are during periods of calm and stability, not after a strong pump. Bitcoin is seen as a long-term asset (target: $500,000).

• Treasury Bond buybacks (Scott Bessant) are driving Bitcoin and Gold as non-yielding assets.
• Equities (stocks) are correcting, however, due to higher interest rate expectations and valuation issues.
• Bitcoin ETFs show strong inflows, supporting demand.
• MicroStrategy did not buy this week, suggesting a natural upswing without artificial demand.

• The market shows real strength, but entering a resistance zone requires discipline and stops.
• Momentum trades (breakouts) and dips can be profitable.
• Important: No blind buying at highs; wait for good entries with clear risk parameters.