
NFA Live! Bitcoin in 2026
The team greets viewers and notes that the crypto market only started to rise during their stream. The mood is subdued, so they dive into several pressing topics:
1. Michael Saylor / Strategy Sells Bitcoin – A 'Paper Hands' Moment?
This is the dominant theme. Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) sold 32 Bitcoin – a tiny fraction of their holdings, but a historic move. The discussion revolves around its significance:
- Rob: Thinks it's good Saylor sold at all, as it breaks his rigid 'never sell' dogma, which is unrealistic for normal people. He believes this could normalize selling to pay dividends, etc. He warns that Strategy might cut or eliminate dividends, like other big companies (GE, 3M, AT&T).
- Ben: Sees this as a convenient narrative for the current bear market, but not a reason to panic. He sells Bitcoin himself, after all. He finds investing in Strategy (STRC) or similar treasury companies risky, as they carry additional risk on top of Bitcoin's price. He prefers just buying Bitcoin directly.
Takeaway: The sale of 32 BTC is not a liquidity shock, but it breaks Saylor's promise and raises questions about the sustainability of the business model (dividends, debt).
2. ETF Outflows: The Real Reason for Market Pressure?
A bigger problem than Strategy is the ETF outflows. The panel mentions 13 consecutive days of outflows, especially from BlackRock. They suspect this persistent selling pressure is a primary reason for the current weakness.
3. Mega IPOs: SpaceX, OpenAI & Co. – Hype or Real Opportunity?
The conversation shifts to upcoming IPOs from SpaceX (reportedly $2 trillion valuation) and OpenAI. The hosts ask whether to invest in these hype stocks:
- Rob: Shows historical IPO data and warns that many big IPOs (like Coinbase, Rivian) crashed after the hype. He sees the current environment as potentially difficult for such valuations and would stay cautious.
- Ben: Agrees there could be a correction after the IPOs (massive liquidity event). However, he bets on Elon Musk and the long-term vision (space, AI). He already owns thematic ETFs (e.g., for space exploration) and would buy in after an expected dip post-IPO.
Key Point: Due to rule changes, SpaceX and OpenAI could be fast-tracked into major indices like the NASDAQ 100 right after their IPO. This means passive investors (e.g., via ETFs) will automatically buy these stocks – regardless of opinion.
4. Green Energy & Nuclear Power: The Next Big Wave?
The team discusses the future of energy, driven by the AI boom and climate change:
- Ben: He is a strong advocate for nuclear power (his background: nuclear engineering). He invests heavily in the sector, e.g., via the ETF URA (Uranium) and is interested in Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) . He sees growing energy demand as a key driver.
- Rob: Owns solar panels in Puerto Rico (due to poor infrastructure) and finds the business 'hit or miss'. He points to a new investment trend: Bitcoin miners pivoting to AI (e.g., Core Scientific, IREN, Riot). These companies use their energy infrastructure for AI data centers, offering a double-whammy of Crypto and AI. He sees this as an interesting alternative to pure green energy ETFs.
Closing & Outlook
The show ends noting the gloomy crypto sentiment and the advice that there is always a bull market somewhere. Next topic (on Ben's channel): Top 10 Low-Cap Altcoin Gems.
💡 Key Takeaways for Investors:
- Strategy (STRC) is no longer a risk-free trade. The sale of 32 BTC signals a new reality.
- ETF outflows are a strong warning signal that should be taken more seriously than single company news.
- SpaceX & OpenAI are coming. Either via individual stocks or (automatically) via index funds. Expect a correction after the hype.
- Energy investments (Nuclear + AI infrastructure) are a hot trend. Bitcoin miners pivoting to AI are an interesting hybrid play.






