Welcome to Nofinity

• Market Context: The market has declined over the past few weeks, raising the question of whether the AI bubble has peaked, especially with SpaceX dropping below its IPO price.
• Market Drivers:
  • Passive Flows: Passive investments (e.g., ETFs) drive the market regardless of fundamentals; each dollar invested lifts market cap by about $5.
  • Buybacks: Companies repurchase shares without regard to price—net $750 billion annually.
  • Foreign Inflows: Nearly $1 trillion flowed into U.S. equities over the past 12 months.
• Risks: A reversal in flows (e.g., recession or panic) could trigger a severe crash. Expectations are extreme: the S&P 500 is the second most expensive market in history.
• Conclusion: It's uncertain if the bubble has peaked. Key is personal risk management: don't invest money you can't afford to lose. Bonds yielding 5–6% offer a safe alternative.

Summary follows...

Summary follows...

Summary follows...

Summary follows...

Summary follows...

• Sentiment echoes a new bull market with strong upward price action, especially for Bitcoin, which is approaching the $80,000 region.
• The weekly trend reversal is confirmed as price has broken above the 200-day moving average.
• Caution is advised, however, as price enters a resistance zone between $80,000 and $82,000. A retest of the $60,000 area is possible.
• Analysts expect consolidation before a potential further move higher.

• Zcash (ZEC): Strong upward momentum; focus on breakouts after a sweep of a base/low. Potential price target: over $1,000.
• Pump.fun: Waiting for consolidation to find a long entry.
• ENA: Potential entry after a pullback into the $13-14 zone.
• Hyperliquid (HYPE): Waiting for a retest of the $70 level, then looking for a reclaim and continuation of the uptrend.
• Memecoins (Robin Hood Ecosystem): The rotation is extremely fast. Currently, Cash Cat is the favorite, but the strategy is to buy dips after a breakout.

• Caution: A pure uptrend is not guaranteed. The trader employs a long-term strategy (accumulation) combined with short-term momentum trades.
• Risk Management: Stop-loss is essential. Every trade is defined with a clear invalidation (e.g., a close below a previous low).
• Focus: Currently focusing on a small basket of 5-6 assets to avoid information overload.
• Portfolio Building: The best entries are during periods of calm and stability, not after a strong pump. Bitcoin is seen as a long-term asset (target: $500,000).

• Treasury Bond buybacks (Scott Bessant) are driving Bitcoin and Gold as non-yielding assets.
• Equities (stocks) are correcting, however, due to higher interest rate expectations and valuation issues.
• Bitcoin ETFs show strong inflows, supporting demand.
• MicroStrategy did not buy this week, suggesting a natural upswing without artificial demand.

• The market shows real strength, but entering a resistance zone requires discipline and stops.
• Momentum trades (breakouts) and dips can be profitable.
• Important: No blind buying at highs; wait for good entries with clear risk parameters.