Welcome to Nofinity

Summary follows...

• The speaker analyzes the current gold price correction and provides an update for the Gold Path 2026.
• Despite fears and a drop, he believes the long-term bull market remains intact.

• In gold bull markets, prices often revisit the 20-month SMA or 21-month EMA, as seen in the 2000s and 1970s.
• The bull market support band (20-month SMA + 21-month EMA) has not been touched yet – a sign of strength.
• Commodity markets move slower than crypto or stocks, so long-term moving averages are relevant.

• The 2026 year-to-date (YTD) return closely tracks 2022 and 2018 – both years saw subsequent recoveries.
• In midterm years (like 2026), gold typically bottoms between June and October.
• Corrections of 20–30% are normal in bull markets (e.g., 1970s and 2000s).

• The average of all prior midterm years shows a low in early July.
• A potential further dip could be linked to a stronger US dollar (similar to 2018).
• If the dollar rises in 1–2 months, gold might weaken again – but as a higher low or lower low.

• The speaker remains bullish on gold – the current weakness is a normal consolidation.
• After the 2026 bottom, he expects a final rally towards the end of the decade, followed by a global top.
• Historical patterns suggest a strong 2027 (pre-election year), with an average gain of +13%.
• The ITC conference in November will provide further insights on gold and other asset classes.

This video breaks down the real reasons behind the stalled Clarity Act for crypto regulation, focusing on a single unanswered document that has been sitting in the White House since July 30.

• The Core Conflict: A compromise proposal by Senators Tillis and Gálvez would ban federal officials (and their spouses) from issuing or sponsoring digital assets while in office, enforced by the Attorney General. The White House has not responded.
• The Stalemate: The bill needs 60 Senate votes but is blocked by exactly seven Democrats who demand stricter ethics rules – the very rules the President won't sign.
• The Conflict of Interest: A Senate Banking Committee minority report reveals the Trump family earned over $1.4 billion in crypto income in 2025 – about 23% of the President's reported income. The ethics clause would directly affect this revenue.
• Who's Not Blocking: Wall Street (BlackRock, Fidelity, Goldman Sachs) and community banks publicly support the bill, seeking only minor tweaks. Blaming Elizabeth Warren or the banking sector is a distraction.
• Market Impact: Bitcoin is flat, while Coinbase and Circle have lost value. Analysts see a

The investor presents three newly purchased stocks and mentions his research platform with a 21-day money-back guarantee.

• Buys a holding company below its intrinsic value (sum-of-the-parts).
• Expects a return of 100% (from 10 to 20) through catalysts like liquidation or spin-offs.
• 40% of market cap in cash – the rest is practically free.

• 8% earnings growth over 10 years, P/E ratio of 10, dividend yield 6%.
• Potential total return of 14% per year.
• Likely takeover by private equity as an additional catalyst.

• Return on equity 20%, price-to-book ratio 1.2 – implies expected return in the high teens.
• Market cap below 2 billion, away from the AI hype.
• Focus on less noticed small caps.

• Risk minimization is the priority (Warren Buffett's rule: avoid losses).
• Model portfolio with 15% return per year over 8 years.
• New book coming in September; platform price will increase, current price stays.

Summary follows...

This video analyzes the current state of the S&P 500, which hit new all-time highs in August 2026. The speaker compares the situation to previous midterm election years (2014, 2018, 2022) and identifies patterns suggesting a possible correction in late summer or autumn.

🔍 Historical Comparisons

• 2014: Correction started on September 19 with a decline of about 10%.
• 2018: Correction started on September 21 with a decline of about 20%.
• 2022: Correction started as early as August 16 (bear market) with a decline of about 20%.
• Current (2026): The S&P 500 is at all-time highs – similar to 2014 and 2018 at this time.

⏳ Potential Timing of the Correction

• The next Fed meeting on September 16 could be a turning point.
• A rate hike or persistently high bond yields (10-year at 4.6%, 30-year already above October 2023 levels) could trigger a correction.
• The speaker expects the correction to begin in September, but it could extend into October or December.

💡 Impact on Bitcoin

• Historically, Bitcoin's cycle bottom often coincided with the second stock market correction in the second half of the year (e.g., 2014, 2018, 2022).
• If the S&P 500 drops to 6,000, Bitcoin could lose support at $60,000.

🛠️ Speaker's Strategy

• He regularly buys low-cost index funds and does not try to time the market.
• He views corrections as buying opportunities, not sell signals.
• He advises monitoring the bond market and the Dollar Index (DXY).

📅 Conclusion

• New all-time highs often lead to further highs before a correction occurs.
• The most likely period for a correction is September 2026, based on historical patterns.
• The speaker remains optimistic for long-term investors but warns of short-term risks.