
Bitcoin Dubious Speculation
The speaker analyzes the market situation after Bitcoin’s latest golden cross and draws historical parallels.
- Price at recording (September 9): $79,000
- Expected correction: 10–15% decline, targeting $70,000–$75,000
The speaker distinguishes between bull and bear market scenarios:
- Bull market (2019, 2023): Correction of 10–15% over a few days to 2 weeks – the low was already in.
- Bear market (2014, 2015): Correction of 50–60% over several months – the golden cross often marked a local top.
After the expected correction, the focus should be on the bounce:
- Higher high: Quick recovery above the previous high → suggests continuation of the bull market.
- Lower high: Weak bounce → reminiscent of 2014/2015 and points to further downside risks.
The speaker emphasizes uncertainty: The analysis is based on historical patterns, but the exact outcome is unpredictable. If Bitcoin does not drop into the mentioned zone, this forecast becomes invalid.






