
Bitcoin: Showdown in the USA! - Clarity Act, Fed and a Happy Ending?
🔍 Bitcoin: Showdown in the USA – Clarity Act, Fed and More
The Bitcoin price is hovering just below $77,000, showing sideways movement with red candles. This week brings several crucial events.
🏛️ Clarity Act: Vote Tonight- The final draft of HR3633 (Clarity Act) has been released – Republicans made concessions, but Democrats are still opposing.
- Tonight at 8:15 PM ET, the Senate votes on whether to continue debating. 60 votes are needed.
- Prediction: A tense agreement to allow further negotiations. The law will not pass this month. Democrats may be playing for time (Midterms).
- Impact: The Clarity Act would mainly benefit altcoins. A positive signal could cause short-term price spikes.
- 95% probability of a rate hike. Markets expect clear guidance from Powell.
- 10-year US Treasury yields above 5% – enormous pressure on risk assets.
- A rate hike is short-term positive (fighting inflation), but long-term negative for stocks.
- Expected hike of 0.25% – the end of cheap money in Japan as well.
- Implications for the Yen and global liquidity.
- Tropic's CEO warns about AI dangers. Trump wants to win the race against China.
- Tech stocks (Arm, Intel) fell sharply. AI investments remain interesting long-term but are volatile short-term.
- Draft bill: Crypto gains will be taxed like stocks at 25% capital gains tax (starting 2027).
- Grandfathering for purchases in 2025: tax-free after one year holding period.
- Good for long-term investors: low tax burden on old holdings.
- Short-term: Key factors are the Clarity Act vote, Fed, and BoJ. Technically important: 200 EMA as support (around $74k).
- Support levels: $74k, $70k, $64k. The author would buy on a dip toward $64k.
- Long-term bullish: Clarity Act will pass eventually, Fed will have to pivot, AI remains a mega-trend.
No imperial units in transcript – no conversion needed. Tone: Informative, inviting.






